International
Monetary Fund (IMF)
reduced the economic growth rate of India from its earlier
prophecy of 5.9 percent to 5.7 percent for the year 2013, in its
latest release, which has been published on 16th April 2013 in World Economic Outlook (WEO).
The IMF slashed its projection for India established on the prominent essential
challenges faced by India, which would decrease the promising output possessing
inflation elevated by regional reasons. IMF also forecasted that the underlying
Indian economy could recover following the information
given by the Union and the improvement in external demands. All these depend
upon a better monsoon season, solid consumption, external demand and
improvement in policy making.
Generally Economic Growth Rate is the most important indicator of economic
health. If it's growing, so will business, jobs and personal income. If it's
slowing down, then businesses will hold off investing in new purchases and
hiring new employees, waiting to see if the economy will improve.
It has to be mentioned here that the worst
thing is India whose Economic growth is often said to be threatened by structural
weaknesses in her infrastructure. So the Poor infrastructure hampers growth
because it causes higher costs and delays for businesses, reduces the mobility of labour and hits the
ability of export businesses to get their products to international markets.
IMF reduced the economic growth rate of global outlook too, which is 3.3 percent from 3.5
percent in January 2013, and the prediction of 0.3 percent was for the 17
nation of Euro-Zone. It has advocated to the policymakers of European nations
to come up with aggressive monetary policies to pull out Euro zone from the
crisis situation.
Growth Forecast by Union Government of India
The Union Government communicated the economic growth rate
6.2-6.7 percent for the fiscal year 2013-2014. Indian Government dependent on
the factor of cost method to make the growth projection, while IMF makes the
growth prediction depends on the estimates of Growth Domestic Product using
market prices.
The latest account defalcation would be
elevated at 4.9 percent against 5.1 percent in 2013, and the Consumer Price can
increase to 10.8 percent from 9.3 percent. The current information released in
context of India’s retail inflation showed moderated impact of retail inflation
in March 2013.
IMF projected that India would grow at the
rate of 6.2% in 2014. It projects
the global economy to expand 4.1% in the 2014.
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