Indian economy has suffered another blow, as the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) on Monday lowered the India’s growth forecast to 6.1% for the year
of 2012. Global economic uncertainty and India’s slower aspect on proper
economic reform may be the reasons behind it. The IMF is citing the slowing
global economy quite regularly. In its latest update to the World Economic
Outlook, the IMF also cut the growth estimate for India to 6.5% for the year of
2013. Eventually in its last outlook, which was announced in the month of
April, it had forecast India’s growth at 6.8% for 2012 and 7.2% for 2013.
“In the past three
months, the global recovery, which was not strong to start with, has shown
signs of further weakness. Financial market and sovereign stress in the Euro
area periphery have ratcheted up, close to end-2011 levels. Growth in a number
of major emerging market economies has been lower than forecast,” the IMF said
in its latest update.
Actually it is not
the first time that India’s growth forecast have been lowered. Many reputed
economists and several high rated agencies have already slashed India’s growth
forecast in this year, considering lack of economic reforms and higher interest
rates.
“Growth momentum has also showed in various
emerging market economies, notably Brazil, China and India. This partly
reflects a weaker external environment, but domestic demand has also
decelerated sharply in response to capacity constraints and policy tightening
over the past years,” in its update the IMF also mentioned.
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