A series of bad
news are coming day after day in the clouds of Indian Economy, and the latest
conclusion is the Exports are declining 14.8% In July only to $22.4 billion,
which is eventually the sharpest contraction in the last three years. It is
mainly because the demand from Europe and US are falling quite hugely now.
These black clouds have to be removed quickly; otherwise Indian Economy will be
in a very big trouble in the near future.
The Imports are
declining too by almost 8% during this July, which is a clear indication of the
moves of the companies to import less raw material and capital goods for
production purpose. The continuous economic slowdown in the domestic industry
is the main reason of this. Here it has to be mentioned that the industry
output fell almost 2% in June and there not so much signs of demand having
picked up.
But in exports
the pace of declining is the fastest, which is a big reason to worry, as it
simply means the expansion of trade deficit. Eventually India’s balance of
trade already expanded from $14.8 billion in July 2011 to $15.5 billion this
July. A weaker rupee should spur exports and imports would be discouraged as
shipments into the country would get much more expensive.
While releasing
the provisional data Commerce Secretary S R Rao said, “The world trade
contraction has worsened. The worst fear of European sovereign debt crisis is
really impacting world trade. In the US markets also, the appetite has
subsequently come down... Days ahead are tough.” However, the Indian government
is expecting an overturn in the next few months, with the backing of its
various incentives, which are already announced. Honorable Commerce &
Industry minister Anand Sharma said, “By the time we enter October, we hope
that we will be able to bring about a positive improvement and enter a positive
territory.” He had an important meeting with the trade bodies.
Have a look here
July
2011 (In $ Bn)
|
July
2012 (In $ Bn)
|
Rise/Fall
(In %)
|
|
Exports
|
26.3
|
22.4
|
-14.8
|
Imports
|
41.1
|
37.9
|
-7.8
|
Balance
of Trade
|
14.8
|
15.5
|
+4.7
|
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